海洋上层暖水在热带气旋迅速增强中的作用:基于台风威马逊(1409)的个例研究

在登陆海南岛之前,台风威马逊在南海北部从热带风暴级别迅速增强成为超强台风。观测数据的分析结果显示,海洋上层的异常暖水在威马逊的迅速增强过程中扮演了重要的角色。威马逊期间,南海北部的海表面温度相比于气候态海表面温度暖很多。这部分异常暖水为威马逊提供了更多的能量,从而导致了威马逊的迅速增强。数值模拟结果进一步证明,南海北部的暖水在台风威马逊的迅速增强过程中起重要作用。如果没有这团异常暖水的影响,威马逊只增强25 hPa,仅为有暖水影响条件下增强程度的58.1%。     

基于MTSAT卫星遥感的中国海及西北太平洋海域海表温度日增温研究

Hourly sea surface temperature(SST) observations from the geostationary satellite are increasingly used in studies of the diurnal warming of the surface oceans. The aim of this study is to derive the spatial and temporal distribution of diurnal warming in the China seas and northwestern Pacific Ocean from Multi-functional Transport Satellite(MTSAT) SST. The MTSAT SST is validated against drifting buoy measurements firstly. It shows mean biases is about –0.2°C and standard deviation is about 0.6°C comparable to other satellite SST accuracy. The results show that the tropics, mid-latitudes controlled by subtropical high and marginal seas are frequently affected by large diurnal warming. The Kuroshio and its extension regions are smaller compared with the surrounding regions. A clear seasonal signal, peaking at spring and summer can be seen from the long time series of diurnal warming in the domain in average. It may due to large insolation and low wind speed in spring and summer, while the winter being the opposite. Surface wind speed modulates the amplitude of the diurnal cycle by influencing the surface heat flux and by determining the momentum flux. For the shallow marginal seas, such as the East China Sea, turbidity would be another important factor promoting diurnal warming. It suggests the need for the diurnal variation to be considered in SST measurement, air-sea flux estimation and multiple sensors SST blending.     

A bi-modal model for Chinese cities: City size,car use and land rent

China is experiencing rapid urbanization and motorization. Urban transport congestion poses a challenge to the cities of China. Policies have been made trying to control the car use and the land use in Chinese cities without sound modelling researches. The existing literature on monocentric city modelling has shown that the parameters are critical for the outcome of the modelling. Following the Alonso-type monocentric model, this paper introduces a bi-modal model to simulate the city size, the distribution of land rent and the modal substitution in Chinese cities. We set the key parameters according to the recent available data of China′s cities, and re-explain the hypothesis of the model. Then we make a sensitivity analysis to reveal the impacts of key parameters on the Chinese cities. According to the results, we find that the wage, the price of car use and the agriculture rent have significant impacts on city size. The land supply for the private transport or the public transport has the strongest impacts on car use and the level of transport congestion. The total population of the city and the wage level have strong impacts on land rent. Some results are counter-intuitive, but explainable. We also discuss implication of these results for policy making.     

A GIS-based method of risk assessment on no. 11 coal-floor water inrush from Ordovician limestone in Hancheng mining area,China

The no. 11 coal seam in the deep area of Hancheng mining area is mining in recent years, which is threatened by the water inrush from the Ordovician limestone aquifer. Coal-floor water inrush is governed by the water abundance of coal-floor aquifer, the water-resisting performance of coal-floor aquitard, and the pathway connecting the water source and the working face. To make an accuracy risk assessment of water inrush from the no. 11 coal seam floor, a GIS-based vulnerability index method (VIM) is adopted for its superior comprehensive consideration of more controlling factors, powerful spatial analysis, and intuitively display functions. This study firstly established an index system including the water pressure of the coal-floor aquifer, the unit water inflow, the thickness, the core recovery percentage, the thickness ratio of brittle rocks to ductile rocks, the thickness of effective aquitard, and the accumulated length of faults and folds, of which the former six indexes governed the water abundance of the coal-floor aquifer which was combined with the last two factors to determine the risk of coal-floor water inrush. Secondly, the thematic map of each controlling factor is established by GIS using the geological prospecting data, and the weight of each factor is determined by the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) after consulting the expert review panel. At last, a vulnerability index is obtained and used to assess the risk of coal-floor water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam. The risk of water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam of the study area was ranked to three zones: the southeastern shallow area in red color is the dangerous zone, the wide northwestern area in green color is the safe zone, and the transition area in yellow color is the moderate-risk zone. Compared with the actual water-inrush incidents, the risk assessment result was verified to achieve an accuracy of 82.35%, which is proved to be a dependable reference for the prevention and controlling of coal-floor water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam in Hancheng mining area.     

中国东部四明山古夷平面遗迹特征与演化

古夷平面研究在地貌演化和新构造运动研究中占有极其重要的地位,但由于遭受构造运动和剥蚀作用的影响,很多古夷平面遗迹已无从清晰辨识。浙江四明山顶古近纪夷平古风化壳面的发现,为研究浙江东部甚至华东地区的新生代地貌演化提供了重要地质信息,同时为始新世和中新世时的古气候、古环境研究提供了重要物质证据。通过详细的野外地质调查,系统采集了该区5个点位的20个古风化壳样品和7个点位的15个现代风化壳样品,开展黏土矿物分析和玄武岩K-Ar年龄测试。研究确认四明山地区发育有2期古夷平面遗迹,即古近纪(E)和新近纪(N)古夷平面遗迹:第一期夷平面发育时间为65. 0～32. 2 Ma,解体和古夷平面遗迹保存时间为32. 2～21. 7 Ma;第二期夷平面发育时间为21. 7～10. 5 Ma,解体和古夷平面遗迹保存时间为10. 5～3. 0 Ma。研究区2期火山活动喷发所形成的玄武岩盖层有效保护了该区的古风化壳,从而使四明山古夷平面遗迹具有空间展布完整、剖面信息清晰等特征,呈现出由古夷平面(古风化壳)与玄武岩堆积面(现代风化壳)组成的"双风化壳"现象,为观察古夷平面遗迹特征提供了最佳场所。     

A MATLAB-based Kriged Kalman Filter software for interpolating missing data in GNSS coordinate time series

GNSS coordinate time series data for permanent reference stations often suffer from random, or even continuous, missing data. Missing data interpolation is necessary due to the fact that some data processing methods require evenly spaced data. Traditional missing data interpolation methods usually use single point time series, without considering spatial correlations between points. We present a MATLAB software for dynamic spatiotemporal interpolation of GNSS missing data based on the Kriged Kalman Filter model. With the graphical user interface, users can load source GNSS data, set parameters, view the interpolated series and save the final results. The SCIGN GPS data indicate that the software is an effective tool for GNSS coordinate time series missing data interpolation.     

渤海湾盆地大型基岩潜山储层特征及其控制因素——以渤中19- 6凝析气田为例

渤中19-6气田是渤海湾盆地近期发现的规模最大的深层变质基岩凝析气田,探明储量超过千亿立方米,气柱高度超1000 m,现今埋深大于4000 m,储层规模大但非均质性强.基于三维地震、钻井、测井以及薄片资料,明确了基岩潜山储层的发育特征,并探讨了优质储层形成的主控因素.结果表明:基岩潜山以太古宇变质花岗岩为主要的储集岩性,储集空间主要为构造裂缝,同时发育沿裂缝溶蚀形成的孔隙及构造破碎粒间孔,平均孔隙度为5％,平均渗透率为6.48×10-3μm2.脆性岩石、构造挤压以及风化作用共同控制了规模性储层的形成:① 研究区90％的岩石为低抗压强度的变质花岗岩,为裂缝的形成提供了物质基础;② 印支期强烈的挤压为规模性裂缝的形成提供了外部动力,是大规模储层发育最为关键的因素;不同构造位置裂缝发育程度不同,造成了储层平面分布的非均质性;③ 长期的风化作用使得潜山上部300 m以内的储集物性得到进一步改善,控制了潜山垂向上储层的非均质性.     

江汉平原东北缘末次冰消期沉积物粒度特征及环境意义

麻城剖面位于江汉平原东北缘山地丘陵与平原过渡带半封闭的宽浅碟形洼地,是江汉平原北缘末次冰消期代表性沉积剖面。沉积环境主要由山麓坡洪积相和沼泽相组成,形成年代为距今18.00~8.60 ka。麻城剖面粒度组成主要以粉砂为主,达60.73%,其中,粗粉砂达40.83%。剖面粒度变化可划分为7个变化阶段。结合剖面的岩性与沉积环境特征等综合分析,发现末次冰消期气候环境经历了四个气候期:第一气候期17.90~17.02 ka B.P.,为冰盛期之后气候开始回暖升温期。此时降水相对较多,地表径流强度中等偏强。第二个时期17.02~12.02 ka B.P.,为快速升温期。总体暖湿多雨,是末次冰消期最显著暖湿期,在江汉平原北缘坡麓地带的洼地广泛发育了沼泽。粒度变化进一步表明气候存在波动,早、晚期降雨强度大,时有强降水发生,地表径流稳定性差;中期（14.47~12.64 ka B.P.）降水明显减少,但雨量相对均匀,地表径流变幅小,此与长江中下游地区石笋记录的冰消期气候特征是一致的。第三气候期12.02~10.80 ka B.P.,该期是新仙女木事件之后的快速升温期,平均粒径和分选系数为剖面最大。表明当时降雨量大,气候稳定性较差,强降雨时有发生。第四气候期10.80~8.60 ka B.P.,气候总体为偏温湿环境。地表径流较第三气候期明显降低,早期降水偏多,后期温湿程度降低,地表径流变小。剖面中有两个明显的气候事件记录,一是新仙女木事件,表现为第④层与第⑤层之间的短暂沉积间断和沼泽环境的结束;二是9.8~9.2 ka B.P.干旱期,为厚约15 cm的黄土状土的沉积。研究表明,长江和汉江洪泛影响不到的江汉平原边缘洼地沉积可能是记录本地区气候特征的良好载体。     

四川盆地喜马拉雅期张扭性断裂构造特征及形成机制

前人对四川盆地盆缘冲断带及川中高-磨地区断裂系统进行了系统性研究,但对于盆地其他区块断裂发育特征、形成演化及应力背景的认识尚不充分.发现了梓潼-成都-威远-华蓥山-广安地区震旦系-下三叠统地层中发育的一套区域性张扭性断裂,主要自震旦系及以下地层向上延伸切穿二叠系地层,多为高陡、小断距正断层,部分形成负花状构造.根据该断裂系统的剖面产状、纵向穿层特征及盆地范围内体现出的分异性,推断该断裂系统形成于喜马拉雅期.物理模拟实验研究发现该断裂体系应发育于扭张性应力环境中,该断裂体系的发育指示了四川盆地内部新生代存在南西-北东向张应力,可能与四川盆地新生代发生的逆时针旋转有关.